Climbing the wall of worry continues, by Blackfort CIO Dr. Andreas Bickel
Climbing the wall of worry continues, by Blackfort CIO Andreas Bickel
3-rate cuts? Climbing the wall of worry continues, but the Fed cannot deliver what the market participants expect. This week the ECB meets in Sintra, the bank of Japan, the bank of England and the Fed will all set their monetary policy. The Fed is probably going to indicate that cuts are likely and they will do whatever is needed to shelter the US economy. However, most likely, this will not be enough and turbulences on financial markets (bonds, equities, FX) must be expected.
Bottom-line further easing lies ahead of us. Financial repression (i.e. expropriation or transfer from wealth from the private sector to the public sector) is going to continue. It is therefore reasonable to expect that interest rates will stay low for a very long period, equities might continue climbing the wall of worries and so called “save assets” will continue to have negative yields.
Today I came across a strategist who uses (as I do) the expression “financial repression” for this phenomena and he illustrates where to invest to protect wealth.
The way to protect is to buy real assets such as REITs, equities, high yield bonds, gold and other illiquid real assets (e.g. PE, Infrastructure etc.). Family offices have also started to invest into timber, which is another way to protect wealth.
Source: https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:6546650621183881216
Published: 17.06.2019 by Blackfort CIO Dr. Andreas Bickel
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